Sunday, February 7, 2016

Caucus Actuals vs. Predictions

OK, so here it is - Sunday, February 7, 2016.  Caucus day in Iowa was Monday, February 1.  I took my best shot at predicting the outcome of that nights festivities (left of candidate's name).  Let's compare final totals (to right of candidate's name) to my predictions (all totals rounded):


Republicans
(Prediction - Name - Actual)
27%  Ted Cruz             28%
23%  Marco Rubio      23%
22%  Donald Trump   24%
  8%  Ben Carson           9%
  5%  Rand Paul             5%
  4%  Jeb Bush               3%
  3%  Mike Huckabee    2%
  2%  Chris Christie      2%
  2%  Carly Fiorina       2%
  2%  John Kasich         2%
  2%  Rick Santorum    1%

Democrats
(Prediction - Name - Actual)
50%  Sanders      50%
44%  Clinton       50%
  6%  O'Malley      1%

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